與此同時,長達60公里的俄軍隊伍仍滯留在基輔外圍,目前正遭遇烏克蘭軍隊的打擊。
烏克蘭軍方3日宣布,擊斃俄軍少將、中央軍區第41軍團副指揮官蘇霍維斯基(Andrei Sukhovetskiy)。該消息若屬實,勢必重挫俄軍士氣。
不過,普京正在加緊進攻,戰況不容樂觀。
美國智庫「海軍分析中心」(CNA)俄羅斯軍事專家考夫曼(Michael Kofman)發推透露,4日可能是俄國戰術轉折點,在地面軍隊受挫情況下,未來俄軍將出動更多空襲。
We've had sporadic use of airpower early on, but today could be a turning point for Russian tactical aviation increasingly being called in to conduct air strikes in Ukraine. As Russian forces grow frustrated, we're going to see more airpower in the coming days.
— Michael Kofman (@KofmanMichael) March 3, 2022
美國軍事情報研判,俄軍開始增加對基輔的空襲,採用「慢性滅絕」(slowannihilation)戰術,慢慢消磨烏克蘭士氣。
接連受挫也令俄軍更加兇狠。除動用真空彈之外,據《烏克蘭真理報》報導,俄軍還在哈爾科夫空投了大量國際公約禁用的「PFM-1」反步兵殺傷地雷。
這種反步兵地雷只有20克重,因為形似蝴蝶,所以被稱為「蝴蝶雷」(Butterfly Mine),是越戰時期由蘇聯研製,其戰略目標是炸斷敵方士兵的手腳令其失去作戰能力。
「蝴蝶雷」的引信十分靈敏,而且一旦解除保險就無法恢復到保險狀態,加上撒布數量大,所以對平民的威脅很大。軍火商刻意把它做成鮮豔顏色,甚至孩童可能會撿起來把玩而受傷,因此被稱為「人類發明的最邪惡武器」之一。
#RussianArmy launched PFM-1 Anti-infantry High-explosive Landmines (#GreenParrots, #ButterflyMines) in Civilian populated areas of #Kharkiv. Civilians searching for food and water were killed. #RussianWarCrimes #RememberKharkiv #UkraineResistance
pic.twitter.com/PT30XI9NOe— TylerIgnatowski 🇺🇦 (@TylerIgnatowski) February 28, 2022
Also watch for the “butterfly” PFM-1 anti personal mines. These are very sensitive to pressure and dangerous to handle. pic.twitter.com/6eKpBEeRvc
— Matt Oliver (@sameo416) March 1, 2022
美國《外交政策》(Foreign Policy)雜誌記者德奇(Jack Detsch)3日晚在推特寫道,美國國防部總結俄烏第八天戰況,主要有3點,一是俄羅斯已出動90%的軍隊進駐在烏克蘭邊境;二是俄軍仍計劃包圍基輔(Kyiv);三是俄軍已經表現出「明確的意願」將烏克蘭平民當作打擊目標,但美方不清楚俄軍是否故意選擇平民進行打擊。
DoD update on Russia's eight-day invasion of Ukraine:
• Russia has sent 90 % of troops arrayed on border to Ukraine
• Russian military still intends to encircle Kyiv;
• Russia has shown "clear willingness" to hit Ukrainian civilian targets but not clear if deliberate— Jack Detsch (@JackDetsch) March 3, 2022
德奇還引述美國一名高級國防官員指,俄羅斯針對烏克蘭首都基輔與第二大城市哈爾科夫(Kharkiv)的政府大樓進行軍事打擊,目前是削弱烏克蘭現政權。
NEW: U.S. believes Russia has hit government buildings Ukraine's two largest cities with military strikes in an effort to weaken the country's government, per a senior U.S. defense official.
U.S. does not know if the targeting of Ukrainian civilian infrastructure is deliberate.
— Jack Detsch (@JackDetsch) March 3, 2022
扶植傀儡政府替換現在的總統澤倫斯基(Volodymyr Zelensky),被認為是普京的一個主要策略。
美國國防分析專家、作家薩頓(H I Sutton)在推特示警,3日下午的衛星圖像顯示,原本停留在克里米亞以西海域的俄海軍編隊開始移動,據信準備在敖德薩(Odessa)附近登陸。
**UPDATE**
Now have location of Russian Navy amphibious landing ships and their escorts off Crimea this afternoon. SAR radar satellite image.Group believed to be intended to land near Odessa
Starting a Twitter Space on these topics in couple of mins with @SimTack pic.twitter.com/AAT3dibTqc
— H I Sutton (@CovertShores) March 3, 2022
黑海沿岸城市馬立波(Mariupol)市長證實,市內遭到俄軍持續攻擊,甚至連救援都出現困難。
Mariupol pic.twitter.com/DmX8LxwYNV
— Illia Ponomarenko (@IAPonomarenko) March 3, 2022
德奇還引述美國防部指,在經歷俄軍480次空襲後,烏克蘭空軍仍保有絕大部分防空和導彈防禦系統,另一方面,雖然已經將15萬軍力的90%部署到烏克蘭邊界,俄國仍有相當大量的可調用兵力。
NEW: Ukraine still has a "majority" air and missile defenses which are still "viable" a week after Russia's invasion, despite 480 missile strikes: senior U.S. defense official.
— Jack Detsch (@JackDetsch) March 3, 2022
JUST IN: Russia still has "vast majority" of overall military forces able to send to Ukraine, despite sending 90 percent of 150,000 troops arrayed on border into the conflict: senior U.S. defense official
— Jack Detsch (@JackDetsch) March 3, 2022